Global sensitivity analysis workflows and rankings: A practical comparison for researchers

Sammendrag

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is a recommended step in the use of computer simulation models. GSA quantifies the relative importance of model inputs on outputs (Factor Ranking), identifies inputs that could be fixed, thus simplifying model calibration (Factor Fixing), and pinpoints areas for future data collection (Factor Prioritization). Given the wide variety of GSA methods, choosing between methods can be challenging. We provide a practitioner-focused guide for non-GSA experts that compares both widely and less commonly used GSA methods, discuss implementation and interpretation issues, and propose a workflow. We assess the degree of similarity in Factor Ranking based on a study of three simulators of differing complexity. A critical issue for all methods is specification of parameter ranges. Factor Rankings were generally quite similar based on Kendall’s W. Sobol’ first order and total sensitivity indices were easy to interpret and informative with regression trees providing additional insight into interactions.